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May Inflation Data Might Be Peak as US-Iran Make Deal, Says Jason Draho

Bloomberg Markets
Monday, June 15, 2026 at 7:21 PM
~4 min read
InflationEnergy

Original Report

Jason Draho, head of asset allocation at UBS Chief Investment Office, said that even though oil flows and energy prices aren't expect to drop back to normal right after a deal between the US and Iran...

Jason Draho, head of asset allocation at UBS Chief Investment Office, said that even though oil flows and energy prices aren't expect to drop back to normal right after a deal between the US and Iran does into effect, May's inflation print may be the peak for year over year measure. Draho said that as energy prices go lower, inflation will start to level out and then dissipate. (Source: Bloomberg)

Glass House Analysis

Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.

Energy prices affect virtually every aspect of daily life—from commuting costs to heating bills to the price of groceries (which must be transported). For working families, energy represents one of the most volatile and impactful line items in their budgets. Energy policy decisions ripple through the economy, affecting everything from manufacturing competitiveness to household financial stress.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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