Philippine Growth Slumps to 2.8% in Challenge for Marcos
Original Report
Philippine growth unexpectedly slowed in the first quarter, leaving the country a laggard within the region and challenging policymakers trying to cool inflation and support the peso.
Glass House Analysis
Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.
The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.
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Hamilton’s Net Oil Price (WTI) Variable
Assuming April value persists into May and June. Figure 1: WTI Net Oil Price, using previous 3 years (blue). NBER defined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded gray. Source: EIA via FRED, and...