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Marginal Revolutionanalysis

Consent-based laws and aggregate fertility

Marginal Revolution
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 5:15 AM
~4 min read

Original Report

This paper examines how expanding the legal definition of sexual assault affects fertility and sexual behavior, using a panel of European countries. I find that switching to tacit consent-based...

This paper examines how expanding the legal definition of sexual assault affects fertility and sexual behavior, using a panel of European countries. I find that switching to tacit consent-based legislation reduces fertility by about 4% relative to the mean. This effect is driven by a decrease in couple formation and an increase in abortion rates. […] The post Consent-based laws and aggregate fertility appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

Glass House Analysis

This story reflects the interconnected nature of modern economic systems, where developments in one sector inevitably affect others. Understanding these connections is essential for grasping how policy decisions and market movements translate into real-world outcomes for families, workers, and communities. The economy is not an abstract system of numbers—it's the sum total of decisions about who works, who prospers, and who struggles.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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