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MarketWatch Top Storiesmarkets

Here’s the big risk facing markets — besides inflation — as the Iran conflict drags on

MarketWatch Top Stories
Thursday, March 26, 2026 at 8:03 PM
~4 min read
Inflation

Original Report

The chances of accelerating U.S. inflation are growing with each passing day as the war in the Middle East continues, with the average price of gasoline nationwide spiking to almost $4 a gallon as of...

The chances of accelerating U.S. inflation are growing with each passing day as the war in the Middle East continues, with the average price of gasoline nationwide spiking to almost $4 a gallon as of Thursday. But there’s another thing American consumers and investors should feel nervous about: the prospect of deflation.

Glass House Analysis

Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.

Energy prices affect virtually every aspect of daily life—from commuting costs to heating bills to the price of groceries (which must be transported). For working families, energy represents one of the most volatile and impactful line items in their budgets. Energy policy decisions ripple through the economy, affecting everything from manufacturing competitiveness to household financial stress.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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