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Bloomberg Marketsglobal

Not Expecting Fed's Powell to Cut Rates, Schroders Says

Bloomberg Markets
Wednesday, March 18, 2026 at 8:03 AM
~4 min read
BankingMonetary PolicyInflationEnergy

Original Report

David Rees, head of global economics at Schroders, discusses the impact of energy prices uncertainty on the Federal Reserve as the war in Iran continues. "If it is a relatively brief energy shock, I...

David Rees, head of global economics at Schroders, discusses the impact of energy prices uncertainty on the Federal Reserve as the war in Iran continues. "If it is a relatively brief energy shock, I think you would look through that," he tells Bloomberg Television. He also discusses what to expect from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell as the central bank prepares to deliver its interest rate decision on Wednesday. "I don't see him cutting rates. I think he's kind of backed away from that now," Rees adds. (Source: Bloomberg)

Glass House Analysis

This development in the banking sector reflects broader tensions between regulatory pressure and financial industry practices. Interest rate policy directly affects household budgets—higher rates mean more expensive mortgages, car loans, and credit card debt, squeezing middle-class families while benefiting savers and banks. The banking system serves as the circulatory system of the economy; any disruption ripples through to small businesses, homebuyers, and everyday consumers who depend on credit access.

Central bank policy decisions made in boardrooms cascade through the economy in ways that touch everyone. A quarter-point rate change might seem abstract, but it determines whether young families can afford homes, whether businesses can afford to hire, and whether retirees see meaningful returns on their savings. The tension between fighting inflation and maintaining employment represents a fundamental tradeoff in economic policy—one that invariably creates winners and losers.

International economic policy has concrete impacts far beyond diplomatic circles. Tariffs show up in the price of goods at stores, supply chain disruptions affect whether products are on shelves, and trade tensions can mean job losses in export-dependent industries. The globalized economy means that decisions made abroad can affect workers and consumers domestically.

Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.

Energy prices affect virtually every aspect of daily life—from commuting costs to heating bills to the price of groceries (which must be transported). For working families, energy represents one of the most volatile and impactful line items in their budgets. Energy policy decisions ripple through the economy, affecting everything from manufacturing competitiveness to household financial stress.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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