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MarketWatch Top Storiesmarkets

Fed’s Waller says next jobs report, not Supreme Court ruling, will be key for March interest rate decision

MarketWatch Top Stories
Monday, February 23, 2026 at 1:33 PM
~4 min read
Monetary PolicyLabor MarketTrade

Original Report

The February jobs report, and not the Supreme Court ruling overturning a large part of President Donald Trump’s tariffs on imported goods, will be key to whether the Federal Reserve needs to cut...

The February jobs report, and not the Supreme Court ruling overturning a large part of President Donald Trump’s tariffs on imported goods, will be key to whether the Federal Reserve needs to cut interest rates in March, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Monday.

Glass House Analysis

Labor market conditions shape the lived experience of millions of working families. When jobs are plentiful, workers have leverage to demand better wages and conditions; when they're scarce, the balance of power shifts to employers. This dynamic plays out daily in kitchen tables across America, where families make decisions about whether to ask for a raise, change jobs, or accept less-than-ideal conditions out of necessity.

Central bank policy decisions made in boardrooms cascade through the economy in ways that touch everyone. A quarter-point rate change might seem abstract, but it determines whether young families can afford homes, whether businesses can afford to hire, and whether retirees see meaningful returns on their savings. The tension between fighting inflation and maintaining employment represents a fundamental tradeoff in economic policy—one that invariably creates winners and losers.

International economic policy has concrete impacts far beyond diplomatic circles. Tariffs show up in the price of goods at stores, supply chain disruptions affect whether products are on shelves, and trade tensions can mean job losses in export-dependent industries. The globalized economy means that decisions made abroad can affect workers and consumers domestically.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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