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Marginal Revolutionanalysis

Poverty and Dependency in the United States, 1939–2023

Marginal Revolution
Friday, February 6, 2026 at 5:57 AM
~4 min read

Original Report

We compare trends in absolute poverty before (1939–1963) and after (1963–2023) the War on Poverty was declared. Our primary methodological contribution is to create a post-tax post-transfer income...

We compare trends in absolute poverty before (1939–1963) and after (1963–2023) the War on Poverty was declared. Our primary methodological contribution is to create a post-tax post-transfer income measure using the 1940, 1950 and 1960 Decennial Censuses through imputations of taxes and transfers as well as certain forms of market income including perquisites (Collins and […] The post Poverty and Dependency in the United States, 1939–2023 appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

Glass House Analysis

This story reflects the interconnected nature of modern economic systems, where developments in one sector inevitably affect others. Understanding these connections is essential for grasping how policy decisions and market movements translate into real-world outcomes for families, workers, and communities. The economy is not an abstract system of numbers—it's the sum total of decisions about who works, who prospers, and who struggles.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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