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Bloomberg MarketsEnergy In Focus as Global Equity Traders Brace For Iran ImpactBloomberg MarketsDollar Surges as Traders Brace for War ImpactFinancial TimesUK draws up options for mass evacuation of citizens from the Middle EastBloomberg MarketsSouth African Budget Chief Resigns After Helping Stabilize DebtFinancial TimesInside Tehran: an eerie quiet is punctuated by explosions and people fleeingBloomberg MarketsOil Market’s ‘Worst Fears’ Are Here as Gulf Conflict Hits HormuzBloomberg MarketsUAE Stock Markets to Close for Two Days Amid Iran StrikesFinancial TimesAir travel heavily disrupted following Iranian strikesBloomberg MarketsLloyd Blankfein on the Risks of Private CreditFinancial TimesMilitary briefing: Iran’s new retaliation strategyBloomberg MarketsLloyd Blankfein on Kathy Ruemmler’s Ties to Jeffrey EpsteinFinancial TimesAfter Khamenei, who rules Iran?Bloomberg MarketsThere Were Several Options for Iran AttackBloomberg MarketsECB’s Nagel Says Doubts on Dollar’s Haven Status Have RisenFinancial TimesTrump’s epic gamble in the Middle EastBloomberg MarketsEnergy In Focus as Global Equity Traders Brace For Iran ImpactBloomberg MarketsDollar Surges as Traders Brace for War ImpactFinancial TimesUK draws up options for mass evacuation of citizens from the Middle EastBloomberg MarketsSouth African Budget Chief Resigns After Helping Stabilize DebtFinancial TimesInside Tehran: an eerie quiet is punctuated by explosions and people fleeingBloomberg MarketsOil Market’s ‘Worst Fears’ Are Here as Gulf Conflict Hits HormuzBloomberg MarketsUAE Stock Markets to Close for Two Days Amid Iran StrikesFinancial TimesAir travel heavily disrupted following Iranian strikesBloomberg MarketsLloyd Blankfein on the Risks of Private CreditFinancial TimesMilitary briefing: Iran’s new retaliation strategyBloomberg MarketsLloyd Blankfein on Kathy Ruemmler’s Ties to Jeffrey EpsteinFinancial TimesAfter Khamenei, who rules Iran?Bloomberg MarketsThere Were Several Options for Iran AttackBloomberg MarketsECB’s Nagel Says Doubts on Dollar’s Haven Status Have RisenFinancial TimesTrump’s epic gamble in the Middle East
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MarketWatch Top Storiesmarkets

Here’s where traders expect crude-oil prices to open after this weekend’s attack on Iran

MarketWatch Top Stories
Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 7:17 PM
~4 min read
InflationTradeEnergy

Original Report

Crude-oil markets won’t officially open for a few more hours, but traders are already using prediction markets like Kalshi to take bets on where prices will settle on Monday.

Glass House Analysis

International economic policy has concrete impacts far beyond diplomatic circles. Tariffs show up in the price of goods at stores, supply chain disruptions affect whether products are on shelves, and trade tensions can mean job losses in export-dependent industries. The globalized economy means that decisions made abroad can affect workers and consumers domestically.

Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.

Energy prices affect virtually every aspect of daily life—from commuting costs to heating bills to the price of groceries (which must be transported). For working families, energy represents one of the most volatile and impactful line items in their budgets. Energy policy decisions ripple through the economy, affecting everything from manufacturing competitiveness to household financial stress.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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