Regular Folk Prices
Original Report
Courtesy of BLS, AIER, and (for nowcast) Cleveland Fed. Prepare for impact. Figure 1: CPI all urban (bold black), CPI for limited service restaurants, n.s.a. (green), AIER Everday Price Index (red),...
Courtesy of BLS, AIER, and (for nowcast) Cleveland Fed. Prepare for impact. Figure 1: CPI all urban (bold black), CPI for limited service restaurants, n.s.a. (green), AIER Everday Price Index (red), predicted value using first differences, contemporaneous CPI and lagged AIER EPI (red +), all in logs, 2025M01=0. March observation for CPI is Cleveland Fed […]
Glass House Analysis
Central bank policy decisions made in boardrooms cascade through the economy in ways that touch everyone. A quarter-point rate change might seem abstract, but it determines whether young families can afford homes, whether businesses can afford to hire, and whether retirees see meaningful returns on their savings. The tension between fighting inflation and maintaining employment represents a fundamental tradeoff in economic policy—one that invariably creates winners and losers.
Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.
The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.
Enjoyed this analysis?
Get the Glass House Briefing every morning—market news that actually makes sense, delivered free to your inbox.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
More Stories
Micron revenue almost triples, tops estimates as demand for memory soars
Micron's stock has soared this year while its tech peers have struggled, as the impact of rising memory costs ripples across the industry.
Iran missile attack on Qatar causes 'extensive damage' to facility housing huge gas plant
Iran's Revolutionary Guard had threatened to attack energy facilities in Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.
U.S. stocks have reached a critical line in the sand. Why the next move could be a 10% drop.
U.S. stocks were flirting with a critical threshold on Wednesday that, if broken, could portend another 10% drop for the S&P 500, according to one technical analyst.
Five Below’s ‘squishy dumplings’ and other viral toys are drawing more shoppers to the discount retailer
Shares of Five Below rallied after hours Wednesday after the teen-centric discount retailer offered an upbeat forecast for this year and said shoppers across all income levels were buying at its...