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Bloomberg MarketsOil Advances After Iran, Israel Strike Major Energy AssetsFinancial TimesIran inflicts ‘extensive damage’ on site of world’s largest LNG facility in QatarBloomberg MarketsBair: Fed Keeping 'Dry Powder' as Inflation PersistsBloomberg MarketsBrainard: Fed May See Oil Price Shock as TransitoryBloomberg MarketsSilver Lake-Backed Relativity Said to Tap Banks for US IPOBloomberg MarketsIran War Not an Inflation 'Speed Bump,' JPMorgan's Michele WarnsBloomberg MarketsBloomberg Surveillance: The Fed Decides 3/18/2026Financial TimesOil jumps above $110 after attacks on Gulf energy facilitiesBloomberg MarketsFive Below Tops Full-Year Outlook Aided by Store OpeningsFinancial TimesFed chief Jay Powell says Iran oil crisis will worsen US inflationBloomberg MarketsCliffwater Private Credit Fund’s Outlook Cut to Negative by S&PBloomberg MarketsOil Driller Maha Exercises Venezuela Rights After US ClearanceBloomberg MarketsEdward Jones CEO Reacts to Fed Holding Rates, Oil SpikeBloomberg MarketsFannie and Freddie Shares Tank as Doubt Swirls About Trump PlansBloomberg Markets'Generational Change' In Regulation: KBW CEOBloomberg MarketsOil Advances After Iran, Israel Strike Major Energy AssetsFinancial TimesIran inflicts ‘extensive damage’ on site of world’s largest LNG facility in QatarBloomberg MarketsBair: Fed Keeping 'Dry Powder' as Inflation PersistsBloomberg MarketsBrainard: Fed May See Oil Price Shock as TransitoryBloomberg MarketsSilver Lake-Backed Relativity Said to Tap Banks for US IPOBloomberg MarketsIran War Not an Inflation 'Speed Bump,' JPMorgan's Michele WarnsBloomberg MarketsBloomberg Surveillance: The Fed Decides 3/18/2026Financial TimesOil jumps above $110 after attacks on Gulf energy facilitiesBloomberg MarketsFive Below Tops Full-Year Outlook Aided by Store OpeningsFinancial TimesFed chief Jay Powell says Iran oil crisis will worsen US inflationBloomberg MarketsCliffwater Private Credit Fund’s Outlook Cut to Negative by S&PBloomberg MarketsOil Driller Maha Exercises Venezuela Rights After US ClearanceBloomberg MarketsEdward Jones CEO Reacts to Fed Holding Rates, Oil SpikeBloomberg MarketsFannie and Freddie Shares Tank as Doubt Swirls About Trump PlansBloomberg Markets'Generational Change' In Regulation: KBW CEO
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Econbrowser
Wednesday, March 18, 2026 at 8:11 PM
~4 min read
Monetary PolicyInflation

Original Report

Courtesy of BLS, AIER, and (for nowcast) Cleveland Fed. Prepare for impact. Figure 1: CPI all urban (bold black), CPI for limited service restaurants, n.s.a. (green), AIER Everday Price Index (red),...

Courtesy of BLS, AIER, and (for nowcast) Cleveland Fed. Prepare for impact. Figure 1: CPI all urban (bold black), CPI for limited service restaurants, n.s.a. (green), AIER Everday Price Index (red), predicted value using first differences, contemporaneous CPI and lagged AIER EPI (red +), all in logs, 2025M01=0. March observation for CPI is Cleveland Fed […]

Glass House Analysis

Central bank policy decisions made in boardrooms cascade through the economy in ways that touch everyone. A quarter-point rate change might seem abstract, but it determines whether young families can afford homes, whether businesses can afford to hire, and whether retirees see meaningful returns on their savings. The tension between fighting inflation and maintaining employment represents a fundamental tradeoff in economic policy—one that invariably creates winners and losers.

Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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