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Bloomberg Marketsglobal

War Spending Sinks Long-Term Government Bonds on Deficit Worries

Bloomberg Markets
Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 9:45 AM
~4 min read
Fixed Income

Original Report

Investors are growing uneasy about the potential cost of the Iran war, sending long-term government bonds lower amid concerns over how the conflict will add to pressures on budget deficits.

Glass House Analysis

Treasury market movements signal how investors view America's fiscal health and economic trajectory. Rising yields mean the government pays more to borrow, which eventually shows up in taxes or reduced services. For average Americans, this translates to higher mortgage rates, more expensive business loans, and a general tightening of financial conditions that makes everything from buying a home to starting a business more challenging.

Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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