Oil Traders Say Billion-Barrel Hole Will Linger Long After War
Original Report
The impact of the Iran war will continue for months even after any deal to restore shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s largest oil traders have warned. Some said flows through the...
The impact of the Iran war will continue for months even after any deal to restore shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s largest oil traders have warned. Some said flows through the waterway may never return to normal. Speaking at the FT Commodities Global Summit in Lausanne, executives at some of the world’s largest oil traders warned that the rewiring of the oil market would take months even if a peace deal is agreed soon. The market is not fully reflecting the impact of the massive supply disruption, they said, cautioning that prices will need to ratchet higher to the point of pushing the global economy toward a recession if the conflict continues. Samantha Dart, Goldman Sachs Co-Head of Global Commodities Research, joins Bloomberg Businessweek Daily to discuss. She speaks with Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. (Source: Bloomberg)
Glass House Analysis
International economic policy has concrete impacts far beyond diplomatic circles. Tariffs show up in the price of goods at stores, supply chain disruptions affect whether products are on shelves, and trade tensions can mean job losses in export-dependent industries. The globalized economy means that decisions made abroad can affect workers and consumers domestically.
Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.
Energy prices affect virtually every aspect of daily life—from commuting costs to heating bills to the price of groceries (which must be transported). For working families, energy represents one of the most volatile and impactful line items in their budgets. Energy policy decisions ripple through the economy, affecting everything from manufacturing competitiveness to household financial stress.
The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.
Enjoyed this analysis?
Get the Glass House Briefing every morning—market news that actually makes sense, delivered free to your inbox.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
More Stories
DOJ charges Southern Poverty Law Center with fraud over secret funding of extremist groups
The Southern Poverty Law Center said it is "outraged" by what it called the "false allegations" by the Department of Justice.
Apple incoming CEO John Ternus faces a defining challenge: Fixing the company's AI strategy
Tim Cook had a highly successful tenure as Apple's CEO, but he leaves his successor with a big gap to fill when it comes to the company's position in AI.
New Apple CEO John Ternus doubted himself when he started: 'I wasn't sure I belonged'
Incoming CEO John Ternus said he was "lucky" to have worked under Apple founder Steve Jobs and considers Tim Cook his mentor.
Apple's elevation of silicon head Johny Srouji signals sprint to build in-house chips for all devices
With the promotion of silicon head Johny Srouji to hardware boss, Apple is showing urgency its its effort to make custom chips for all iPhones and Macs.