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What It Means If Trump Loses Control of His War

Bloomberg Markets
Friday, March 20, 2026 at 9:34 PM
~4 min read
Energy

Original Report

US President Donald Trump appears to be losing control of the war with Iran that he started. More than three weeks in, Tehran remains defiant and has lashed out more fiercely at Gulf neighbors than...

US President Donald Trump appears to be losing control of the war with Iran that he started. More than three weeks in, Tehran remains defiant and has lashed out more fiercely at Gulf neighbors than Trump expected. The Strait of Hormuz is still effectively closed, and even America’s closest allies have refused his request to help reopen it. Israel has launched attacks on Iran’s energy infrastructure — Trump claims — without Washington’s knowledge, prompting an attack on Qatar that has taken 17% of its LNG export capacity offline for three to five years. So where does that put Trump? The conflict’s current trajectory looks untenable as the economic, political and military costs mount. Bloomberg Economics Senior Geoeconomics Analyst for Asia-Pacific Adam Farrar joins Bloomberg Businessweek Daily to discuss. He speaks with Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. (Source: Bloomberg)

Glass House Analysis

International economic policy has concrete impacts far beyond diplomatic circles. Tariffs show up in the price of goods at stores, supply chain disruptions affect whether products are on shelves, and trade tensions can mean job losses in export-dependent industries. The globalized economy means that decisions made abroad can affect workers and consumers domestically.

Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.

Energy prices affect virtually every aspect of daily life—from commuting costs to heating bills to the price of groceries (which must be transported). For working families, energy represents one of the most volatile and impactful line items in their budgets. Energy policy decisions ripple through the economy, affecting everything from manufacturing competitiveness to household financial stress.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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