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Fed Can Still Cut Twice on Quick Iran Resolution, Goldman’s Trivedi Says

Bloomberg Markets
Wednesday, March 4, 2026 at 12:06 PM
~4 min read
Monetary PolicyInflation

Original Report

Kamakshya Trivedi, chief FX and EM strategist at Goldman Sachs, sees inflation trending down if there is a quick resolution to the war on Iran, allowing the Federal Reserve to deliver two...

Kamakshya Trivedi, chief FX and EM strategist at Goldman Sachs, sees inflation trending down if there is a quick resolution to the war on Iran, allowing the Federal Reserve to deliver two interest-rate cuts this year. (Source: Bloomberg)

Glass House Analysis

Central bank policy decisions made in boardrooms cascade through the economy in ways that touch everyone. A quarter-point rate change might seem abstract, but it determines whether young families can afford homes, whether businesses can afford to hire, and whether retirees see meaningful returns on their savings. The tension between fighting inflation and maintaining employment represents a fundamental tradeoff in economic policy—one that invariably creates winners and losers.

Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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