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Goldman Axes Indonesia Rate-Cut Forecasts, Flags India Hikes

Bloomberg Markets
Tuesday, March 24, 2026 at 12:33 AM
~4 min read
InflationEnergy

Original Report

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. dropped its call for monetary easing in Indonesia this year while adding interest-rate hikes for India and the Philippines as the US-Israeli war on Iran drives up energy...

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. dropped its call for monetary easing in Indonesia this year while adding interest-rate hikes for India and the Philippines as the US-Israeli war on Iran drives up energy prices and boosts inflation across Asia.

Glass House Analysis

Central bank policy decisions made in boardrooms cascade through the economy in ways that touch everyone. A quarter-point rate change might seem abstract, but it determines whether young families can afford homes, whether businesses can afford to hire, and whether retirees see meaningful returns on their savings. The tension between fighting inflation and maintaining employment represents a fundamental tradeoff in economic policy—one that invariably creates winners and losers.

Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.

Energy prices affect virtually every aspect of daily life—from commuting costs to heating bills to the price of groceries (which must be transported). For working families, energy represents one of the most volatile and impactful line items in their budgets. Energy policy decisions ripple through the economy, affecting everything from manufacturing competitiveness to household financial stress.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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