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Bonds Edge Up on Fed Rate-Cut Bets, Yen Weakens: Markets Wrap

Bloomberg Markets
Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 10:25 PM
~4 min read
Monetary PolicyInflationFixed Income

Original Report

Bonds gained and equities steadied after benign US inflation data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year, helping calm markets unsettled by concerns over...

Bonds gained and equities steadied after benign US inflation data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year, helping calm markets unsettled by concerns over artificial-intelligence disruption.

Glass House Analysis

Treasury market movements signal how investors view America's fiscal health and economic trajectory. Rising yields mean the government pays more to borrow, which eventually shows up in taxes or reduced services. For average Americans, this translates to higher mortgage rates, more expensive business loans, and a general tightening of financial conditions that makes everything from buying a home to starting a business more challenging.

Central bank policy decisions made in boardrooms cascade through the economy in ways that touch everyone. A quarter-point rate change might seem abstract, but it determines whether young families can afford homes, whether businesses can afford to hire, and whether retirees see meaningful returns on their savings. The tension between fighting inflation and maintaining employment represents a fundamental tradeoff in economic policy—one that invariably creates winners and losers.

Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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