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Financial TimesIran’s top negotiator says US must earn Tehran’s trustFinancial TimesIn Hungary, Orbánomics is on the ballotFinancial TimesChina open to Taiwanese TV and imports after opposition visitBloomberg MarketsEvent Bets Pose a Problem for Wall Street Firms Looking to TradeFinancial TimesHungarian voters turn out in force for biggest test of Orbán eraFinancial TimesUS and Iran fail to reach deal after marathon talksBloomberg MarketsFailure of US-Iran Talks Set to Weigh on Risk Assets MondayBloomberg MarketsIndia Forex Regulator Criticizes Banks’ Rupee Arbitrage TradesBloomberg MarketsSaudi Arabia Says East-West Pipeline Restored to Full CapacityBloomberg MarketsUS and Iran Have Failed to Reach an Agreement, JD Vance SaysBloomberg MarketsWhy Water Bonds Could Help More Funding Flow Into AfricaBloomberg MarketsOil Tankers U-Turn in Hormuz as US-Iran Talks Break DownBloomberg MarketsMalaysia Faces ‘Critical Period’ For Fuel by June, Minister SaysFinancial TimesCommodity traders lost ‘billions’ in early days of Iran warFinancial TimesFees for seas: a history of taxing waterwaysFinancial TimesIran’s top negotiator says US must earn Tehran’s trustFinancial TimesIn Hungary, Orbánomics is on the ballotFinancial TimesChina open to Taiwanese TV and imports after opposition visitBloomberg MarketsEvent Bets Pose a Problem for Wall Street Firms Looking to TradeFinancial TimesHungarian voters turn out in force for biggest test of Orbán eraFinancial TimesUS and Iran fail to reach deal after marathon talksBloomberg MarketsFailure of US-Iran Talks Set to Weigh on Risk Assets MondayBloomberg MarketsIndia Forex Regulator Criticizes Banks’ Rupee Arbitrage TradesBloomberg MarketsSaudi Arabia Says East-West Pipeline Restored to Full CapacityBloomberg MarketsUS and Iran Have Failed to Reach an Agreement, JD Vance SaysBloomberg MarketsWhy Water Bonds Could Help More Funding Flow Into AfricaBloomberg MarketsOil Tankers U-Turn in Hormuz as US-Iran Talks Break DownBloomberg MarketsMalaysia Faces ‘Critical Period’ For Fuel by June, Minister SaysFinancial TimesCommodity traders lost ‘billions’ in early days of Iran warFinancial TimesFees for seas: a history of taxing waterways
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Event Bets Pose a Problem for Wall Street Firms Looking to Trade

Bloomberg Markets
Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM
~4 min read
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Original Report

Prediction markets are booming. Wagers on everything from the return of Jesus Christ to who will win the World Cup have driven weekly volumes on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi into the billions...

Prediction markets are booming. Wagers on everything from the return of Jesus Christ to who will win the World Cup have driven weekly volumes on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi into the billions of dollars.

Glass House Analysis

This story reflects the interconnected nature of modern economic systems, where developments in one sector inevitably affect others. Understanding these connections is essential for grasping how policy decisions and market movements translate into real-world outcomes for families, workers, and communities. The economy is not an abstract system of numbers—it's the sum total of decisions about who works, who prospers, and who struggles.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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