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JPM's Lakos: Dwindling Oil Inventories Could Force Reopening of Hormuz

Bloomberg Markets
Tuesday, May 12, 2026 at 11:06 AM
~4 min read
Energy

Original Report

Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz remains at a standstill, with the US President saying the ceasefire is on "massive life support". Dubravko Lakos, Global Head of Market Strategy at JPMorgan, says...

Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz remains at a standstill, with the US President saying the ceasefire is on "massive life support". Dubravko Lakos, Global Head of Market Strategy at JPMorgan, says inventories have helped to offset to the energy shock so far, but we're now heading towards so-called "operational stress levels" that could potentially force the reopening of the Strait. Lakos joined Bloomberg's Francine Lacqua at JPMorgan's Global Markets Conference in Paris. (Source: Bloomberg)

Glass House Analysis

International economic policy has concrete impacts far beyond diplomatic circles. Tariffs show up in the price of goods at stores, supply chain disruptions affect whether products are on shelves, and trade tensions can mean job losses in export-dependent industries. The globalized economy means that decisions made abroad can affect workers and consumers domestically.

Energy prices affect virtually every aspect of daily life—from commuting costs to heating bills to the price of groceries (which must be transported). For working families, energy represents one of the most volatile and impactful line items in their budgets. Energy policy decisions ripple through the economy, affecting everything from manufacturing competitiveness to household financial stress.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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