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Econbrowseranalysis

Employment and Wages: Alternative Measures

Econbrowser
Friday, June 5, 2026 at 9:50 PM
~4 min read
Labor Market

Original Report

Nonfarm payroll employment upside surprise from CES. CPS indicates something less positive, as does ADP, trendwise. Figure 1: Change in nonfarm payroll employment according to CES May release (bold...

Nonfarm payroll employment upside surprise from CES. CPS indicates something less positive, as does ADP, trendwise. Figure 1: Change in nonfarm payroll employment according to CES May release (bold black). April release (gray), CPS series adjusted to NFP concept, 3 month centered moving average (red), early benchmark (light greenn), and QCEW covered employment (blue), all […]

Glass House Analysis

Labor market conditions shape the lived experience of millions of working families. When jobs are plentiful, workers have leverage to demand better wages and conditions; when they're scarce, the balance of power shifts to employers. This dynamic plays out daily in kitchen tables across America, where families make decisions about whether to ask for a raise, change jobs, or accept less-than-ideal conditions out of necessity.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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