Employment and Wages: Alternative Measures
Original Report
Nonfarm payroll employment upside surprise from CES. CPS indicates something less positive, as does ADP, trendwise. Figure 1: Change in nonfarm payroll employment according to CES May release (bold...
Nonfarm payroll employment upside surprise from CES. CPS indicates something less positive, as does ADP, trendwise. Figure 1: Change in nonfarm payroll employment according to CES May release (bold black). April release (gray), CPS series adjusted to NFP concept, 3 month centered moving average (red), early benchmark (light greenn), and QCEW covered employment (blue), all […]
Glass House Analysis
Labor market conditions shape the lived experience of millions of working families. When jobs are plentiful, workers have leverage to demand better wages and conditions; when they're scarce, the balance of power shifts to employers. This dynamic plays out daily in kitchen tables across America, where families make decisions about whether to ask for a raise, change jobs, or accept less-than-ideal conditions out of necessity.
The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.
Enjoyed this analysis?
Get the Glass House Briefing every morning—market news that actually makes sense, delivered free to your inbox.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
More Stories
Here’s what’s worth streaming in June 2026 on Netflix, Hulu, HBO Max and more
HBO’s ‘House of the Dragon,’ Hulu’s ‘The Bear’ and Apple’s ‘Cape Fear’ will try to compete with the World Cup
KPMG Chief Economist Discusses Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Diane Swonk, KPMG Chief Economist, analyzed the current economic landscape, highlighting how improvements in the labor market and persistent service sector inflation are driving hawkish sentiment...
Amazon unveils latest warehouse robot as tech giants continue AI layoffs
"Our experience of robots is that it's actually driven up employment rather than the reverse," Amazon executive John Boumphrey told CNBC.
Electrum-Backed Mexican Silver Miner Sinda Files for US IPO
Sinda Ltd. filed for a US initial public offering, seeking to fund mining for silver in a historically productive part of Mexico.