Is Accelerating Inflation Just around the Corner?
Original Report
Households say yes (preliminary), while Wall Street economists says no: Figure 1: Year-on-Year CPI inflation (bold black), U.Michigan February survey mean (prel.) (light blue square), WSJ January...
Households say yes (preliminary), while Wall Street economists says no: Figure 1: Year-on-Year CPI inflation (bold black), U.Michigan February survey mean (prel.) (light blue square), WSJ January survey mean (red triangle), all in %. Source: BLS, U.Michigan, WSJ, and author’s calculations. While consumer inflation expectations (from the U.Michigan survey) are typically significantly biased upward, over […]
Glass House Analysis
Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.
The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.
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