Headlines
Financial TimesPanic in the Gulf as Iran lashes out at US alliesFinancial TimesMilitary briefing: The US-Israeli strikes and Iran’s retaliationFinancial TimesNetanyahu’s ‘biggest decision’: Israeli leader pursues regime change in IranFinancial TimesIran’s supreme leader Khamenei is dead, Trump saysBloomberg MarketsPolymarket Iran Bets Hit $529 Million as New Wallets Draw NoticeBloomberg MarketsUS Job Growth Seen Moderating After Robust JanuaryBloomberg MarketsPrivate Credit Stocks Signal More Pain Is Coming: Credit WeeklyFinancial TimesStrike on Iranian primary school kills 108, authorities sayBloomberg MarketsBloomberg This Weekend 2/28/2026Bloomberg MarketsDubai Prepares for the Worst as Iran Launches Drones and MissilesBloomberg MarketsBolivia Races to Destroy Millions in Cash That Fell From SkyFinancial TimesGreg Abel tells Berkshire investors its cash pile is not a retreat from dealmakingBloomberg MarketsWhat It Takes for Regime Change in Iran: John BoltonBloomberg MarketsUK’s Starmer Urges Return to Diplomatic Process for US, IranFinancial TimesInsurers to cancel policies and raise prices for ships in Gulf and Strait of HormuzFinancial TimesPanic in the Gulf as Iran lashes out at US alliesFinancial TimesMilitary briefing: The US-Israeli strikes and Iran’s retaliationFinancial TimesNetanyahu’s ‘biggest decision’: Israeli leader pursues regime change in IranFinancial TimesIran’s supreme leader Khamenei is dead, Trump saysBloomberg MarketsPolymarket Iran Bets Hit $529 Million as New Wallets Draw NoticeBloomberg MarketsUS Job Growth Seen Moderating After Robust JanuaryBloomberg MarketsPrivate Credit Stocks Signal More Pain Is Coming: Credit WeeklyFinancial TimesStrike on Iranian primary school kills 108, authorities sayBloomberg MarketsBloomberg This Weekend 2/28/2026Bloomberg MarketsDubai Prepares for the Worst as Iran Launches Drones and MissilesBloomberg MarketsBolivia Races to Destroy Millions in Cash That Fell From SkyFinancial TimesGreg Abel tells Berkshire investors its cash pile is not a retreat from dealmakingBloomberg MarketsWhat It Takes for Regime Change in Iran: John BoltonBloomberg MarketsUK’s Starmer Urges Return to Diplomatic Process for US, IranFinancial TimesInsurers to cancel policies and raise prices for ships in Gulf and Strait of Hormuz
Home/Bloomberg Markets
Back
MARKETS:
SPY+0.26%
DIA+0.23%
QQQ-0.14%
IWM+0.29%
GLD-0.40%
USO+1.64%
Bloomberg Marketsglobal

Polymarket Iran Bets Hit $529 Million as New Wallets Draw Notice

Bloomberg Markets
Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 9:24 PM
~4 min read
Trade

Original Report

As US and Israeli bombs fell on Iran this weekend, bettors on Polymarket — where $529 million was traded on contracts tied to the timing of the strikes — were cashing in. Almost immediately,...

As US and Israeli bombs fell on Iran this weekend, bettors on Polymarket — where $529 million was traded on contracts tied to the timing of the strikes — were cashing in. Almost immediately, blockchain sleuths began hunting for unusual patterns in recent bets.

Glass House Analysis

International economic policy has concrete impacts far beyond diplomatic circles. Tariffs show up in the price of goods at stores, supply chain disruptions affect whether products are on shelves, and trade tensions can mean job losses in export-dependent industries. The globalized economy means that decisions made abroad can affect workers and consumers domestically.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

Enjoyed this analysis?

Get the Glass House Briefing every morning—market news that actually makes sense, delivered free to your inbox.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

More Stories

Economic Context

S&P 500
+0.26%
Dow Jones
+0.23%
NASDAQ 100
-0.14%
Russell 2000
+0.29%