Two Measures of Private NFP Compared
Original Report
Post-benchmark revision, here are changes in the BLS and ADP series: Figure 1: Change in BLS private nonfarm payroll employment (bold black), +/- 2 mean absolute revision (gray +), and change in ADP...
Post-benchmark revision, here are changes in the BLS and ADP series: Figure 1: Change in BLS private nonfarm payroll employment (bold black), +/- 2 mean absolute revision (gray +), and change in ADP private nonfarm payroll employment (teal), both in 000’s, s.a. MAR is at 50K, using total NFP for 2023-24 figures. Source: BLS and […]
Glass House Analysis
Labor market conditions shape the lived experience of millions of working families. When jobs are plentiful, workers have leverage to demand better wages and conditions; when they're scarce, the balance of power shifts to employers. This dynamic plays out daily in kitchen tables across America, where families make decisions about whether to ask for a raise, change jobs, or accept less-than-ideal conditions out of necessity.
The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.
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