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UBS Sees 20% Upside for China Stocks on Reflationary Potential

Bloomberg Markets
Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 4:15 AM
~4 min read
InflationEquities

Original Report

Chinese stocks may gain another 20% as rising inflation expectations translate into better earnings, according to UBS Securities Asia Ltd.

Glass House Analysis

Inflation is the silent tax that erodes purchasing power, hitting hardest those who can least afford it. When grocery bills rise faster than wages, families face impossible choices between food, medicine, and rent. Unlike market volatility that mainly affects investors, inflation touches everyone who buys groceries, fills a gas tank, or pays rent.

Corporate decisions reverberate through local communities—a merger might mean headquarters relocating, a restructuring could eliminate jobs, and strategic shifts affect suppliers and service providers in countless towns. Behind quarterly earnings numbers are real employment decisions, investment choices, and community impacts that shape the economic landscape of regions across the country.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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