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How Prediction Markets Became a Force in US Elections

Bloomberg Markets
Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM
~4 min read

Original Report

In the 2026 midterms, Kalshi and Polymarket took center stage as election forecasting tools. Critics warn of new risks to democracy.

Glass House Analysis

This story reflects the interconnected nature of modern economic systems, where developments in one sector inevitably affect others. Understanding these connections is essential for grasping how policy decisions and market movements translate into real-world outcomes for families, workers, and communities. The economy is not an abstract system of numbers—it's the sum total of decisions about who works, who prospers, and who struggles.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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