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Econbrowseranalysis

Deficit, Debt w/o the OBBBA

Econbrowser
Monday, May 18, 2026 at 5:14 PM
~4 min read
Fixed Income

Original Report

As Treasury yields jump, changes in fiscal policy come into scrutiny. By comparing the Feb 2026 to January 2025 CBO baselines, and isolating changes due to legislation, one can identify the impact on...

As Treasury yields jump, changes in fiscal policy come into scrutiny. By comparing the Feb 2026 to January 2025 CBO baselines, and isolating changes due to legislation, one can identify the impact on deficits and debt arising from the changes in current law. Here’s the impact on the deficit to GDP due to OBBBA and […]

Glass House Analysis

Treasury market movements signal how investors view America's fiscal health and economic trajectory. Rising yields mean the government pays more to borrow, which eventually shows up in taxes or reduced services. For average Americans, this translates to higher mortgage rates, more expensive business loans, and a general tightening of financial conditions that makes everything from buying a home to starting a business more challenging.

The implications extend beyond the immediate news cycle. Every economic development creates ripples that affect employment, prices, and opportunities in ways that may not be immediately visible but are deeply felt. By tracking these connections, we can better understand how the economy truly works—not as an abstract machine, but as a human system shaped by and shaping the lives of millions.

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